AS Roma 2-3 Palermo Prediction

AS RomaAS Roma
2 — 3FT
PalermoPalermo
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

As RomaAs RomavsPalermoPalermo

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans As Roma

Estimated win chances: As Roma 46.2%, draw 23.9%, Palermo 29.9%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.68Expected goals1.31

From 32 and 32 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–07.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

57BuildingAs Roma
Weighted momentum

As Roma carries the sharper recent run (+14 momentum).

43MixedPalermo

As Roma

15W · 8D · 9L
Recent →WLDWWDWLLLDWWLWWWDLWDWWWDWLWLDLD
Momentum index

Palermo

13W · 5D · 14L
Recent →DLWLLLLLWWLWLDWDWLWWWLWLLWWDWLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAs Roma +9

As Roma

53 pts
47% wins

15W · 8D · 9L · 32 played

For
49
Against
44
Goal diff +5

Palermo

44 pts
41% wins

13W · 5D · 14L · 32 played

For
47
Against
52
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • As Roma offensive edge

    As Roma's attack (73%) vs Palermo's defense (40%).

    +33
  • Palermo offensive edge

    Palermo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -33

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

As Roma73
Palermo27

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

As Roma60
Palermo40

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

As Roma57
Palermo43

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

As Roma116
Palermo-16

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

As Roma30
Palermo32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

As Roma71
Palermo29

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

As Roma0
Palermo100