AS Roma 1-0 Parma Prediction

AS RomaAS Roma
1 — 0FT
ParmaParma
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

As RomaAs RomavsParmaParma

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans As Roma

Estimated win chances: As Roma 50.2%, draw 24.3%, Parma 25.5%. From 23 and 22 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.67Expected goals1.12

From 23 and 22 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 0–17.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

52BuildingAs Roma
Weighted momentum

As Roma carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).

44MixedParma

As Roma

10W · 5D · 8L
Recent →LDWLDWWWWDLLWWLLWLWWDDL
Momentum index

Parma

7W · 7D · 8L
Recent →DWDDWLDDDDLWLWLLWWLLWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

As Roma

35 pts
43% wins

10W · 5D · 8L · 23 played

For
36
Against
27
Goal diff +9

Parma

28 pts
32% wins

7W · 7D · 8L · 22 played

For
27
Against
34
Goal diff -7

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • As Roma offensive edge

    As Roma faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -13
  • Parma offensive edge

    Parma's attack (43%) vs As Roma's defense (30%).

    +13

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

As Roma57
Parma43

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

As Roma30
Parma70

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

As Roma52
Parma44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

As Roma24
Parma76

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

As Roma30
Parma30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

As Roma36
Parma64

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

As Roma71
Parma29