Goal expectancy
1.15Expected goals0.99
From 31 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
AS Sobemap 2-0 Dragons Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans As Sobemap
Estimated win chances: As Sobemap 39.3%, draw 29.5%, Dragons 31.2%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
52BuildingAs Sobemap
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
57BuildingDragons
As Sobemap · compact defenseDragons · compact defense
As Sobemap
12W · 15D · 4LRecent →DLWDWDWDDDWDLWDDDDWDWDDWLLWWWWD
Momentum index
Dragons
14W · 13D · 4LRecent →DWWDWLLDWDDWLWDDWWLDWDWWDDWWDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDragons +4
As Sobemap
51 pts39% wins
12W · 15D · 4L · 31 played
For38
Against23
Dragons
55 pts45% wins
14W · 13D · 4L · 31 played
For42
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- As Sobemap offensive edge
As Sobemap faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Dragons offensive edge
Dragons's attack (44%) vs As Sobemap's defense (30%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
As Sobemapcompact defense
Dragonscompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4As Sobemap57%
2Draws
1Dragons14%