Goal expectancy
1.63Expected goals1.12
From 5 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Asane
Estimated win chances: Asane 49.2%, draw 24.6%, Start 26.2%. From 5 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
24Cold spellAsane
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
19Cold spellStart
Asane · cold formStart · High-risk / fragile
Asane
0W · 4D · 1LRecent →LDDDD
Momentum index
Start
0W · 3D · 3LRecent →DLDDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Asane
4 pts0% wins
0W · 4D · 1L · 5 played
For7
Against8
Start
3 pts0% wins
0W · 3D · 3L · 6 played
For4
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Asane offensive edge
Asane's attack (70%) vs Start's defense (50%).
+20 - Start offensive edge
Start runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Asanecold form
StartHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Asane50%
2Draws
1Start17%