Goal expectancy
0.73Expected goals1.01
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
ASFA-Yennenga 3-0 SONABEL Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Sonabel
Estimated win chances: Asfa-yennenga 25.7%, draw 33.1%, Sonabel 41.2%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoLow
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellAsfa-yennenga
Weighted momentum
Sonabel arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
55BuildingSonabel
Asfa-yennenga · low scoring · cold formSonabel · compact defense
Asfa-yennenga
5W · 7D · 9LRecent →LWLLDWDDWLLWDWLLDLDLD
Momentum index
Sonabel
9W · 10D · 2LRecent →WDDDDWLDWLWWDDWDDWWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSonabel +15
Asfa-yennenga
22 pts24% wins
5W · 7D · 9L · 21 played
For13
Against21
Sonabel
37 pts43% wins
9W · 10D · 2L · 21 played
For23
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Asfa-yennenga offensive edge
Asfa-yennenga faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-30 - Sonabel offensive edge
Sonabel's attack (67%) vs Asfa-yennenga's defense (38%).
+29
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Asfa-yennengalow scoring · cold form
Sonabelcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Asfa-yennenga43%
4Draws
0Sonabel0%