ASPAC 1-0 AS Cotonou Prediction

ASPACASPAC
1 — 0FT
AS CotonouAS Cotonou

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Aspac 35.7%, draw 28.7%, As Cotonou 35.7%. From 5 and 4 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.13Expected goals1.13

From 5 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–111.9%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 0–010.6%
  • 1–27.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

69Hot streakAspac
Weighted momentum

As Cotonou arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).

85Hot streakAs Cotonou
Aspac · Structured / conservativeAs Cotonou · compact defense · hot form

Aspac

3W · 1D · 1L
Recent →WWLDW
Momentum index

As Cotonou

3W · 1D · 0L
Recent →WWDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Aspac

10 pts
60% wins

3W · 1D · 1L · 5 played

For
5
Against
4
Goal diff +1

As Cotonou

10 pts
75% wins

3W · 1D · 0L · 4 played

For
6
Against
1
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Aspac offensive edge

    Aspac faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -35
  • As Cotonou offensive edge

    As Cotonou's attack (55%) vs Aspac's defense (20%).

    +35

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Aspac45
As Cotonou55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Aspac20
As Cotonou80

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Aspac69
As Cotonou85

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Aspac-20
As Cotonou120

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Aspac30
As Cotonou30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Aspac50
As Cotonou50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Aspac25
As Cotonou75
AspacStructured / conservative
As Cotonoucompact defense · hot form

H2H in this snapshot

From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

0Aspac0%
3Draws
1As Cotonou25%

Recent meetings