Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals0.79
From 32 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Aspac
Estimated win chances: Aspac 49.7%, draw 28.2%, Jak 22.1%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingAspac
Weighted momentum
Aspac carries the sharper recent run (+23 momentum).
30Cold spellJak
Aspac · compact defenseJak · low scoring · cold form
Aspac
11W · 15D · 6LRecent →WDLLWWWLWDDDWDLWDDWDWDDWWDDDLLDD
Momentum index
Jak
7W · 8D · 17LRecent →DLDLDWDWLLLLWDLLLDLWDLWLLLWLWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAspac +19
Aspac
48 pts34% wins
11W · 15D · 6L · 32 played
For35
Against26
Jak
29 pts22% wins
7W · 8D · 17L · 32 played
For26
Against43
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aspac offensive edge
Aspac's attack (50%) vs Jak's defense (25%).
+25 - Jak offensive edge
Jak runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Aspaccompact defense
Jaklow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Aspac33%
1Draws
1Jak33%