Goal expectancy
1.18Expected goals0.82
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Aspac
Estimated win chances: Aspac 44.3%, draw 30.2%, Sitatunga 25.6%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedAspac
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
44MixedSitatunga
Aspac · Structured / conservativeSitatunga · low scoring
Aspac
2W · 7D · 2LRecent →DDWWDDDLLDD
Momentum index
Sitatunga
3W · 4D · 4LRecent →WDDDDLWLWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Aspac
13 pts18% wins
2W · 7D · 2L · 11 played
For10
Against8
Sitatunga
13 pts27% wins
3W · 4D · 4L · 11 played
For8
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aspac offensive edge
Aspac's attack (73%) vs Sitatunga's defense (67%).
+6 - Sitatunga offensive edge
Sitatunga runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
AspacStructured / conservative
Sitatungalow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Aspac33%
3Draws
1Sitatunga17%