Goal expectancy
1.17Expected goals1.13
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Aspis 36.8%, draw 28.4%, Ormideia 34.8%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedAspis
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
44MixedOrmideia
Aspis · low scoringOrmideia · Structured / conservative
Aspis
4W · 1D · 7LRecent →WWLWLDLLLLWL
Momentum index
Ormideia
4W · 4D · 4LRecent →DLWDLDWWWLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapOrmideia +3
Aspis
13 pts33% wins
4W · 1D · 7L · 12 played
For12
Against19
Ormideia
16 pts33% wins
4W · 4D · 4L · 12 played
For9
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aspis offensive edge
Aspis's attack (64%) vs Ormideia's defense (54%).
+10 - Ormideia offensive edge
Ormideia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Aspislow scoring
OrmideiaStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Aspis50%
0Draws
1Ormideia50%