Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.07
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Aspis
Estimated win chances: Aspis 40.4%, draw 28.1%, Ormideia 31.5%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedAspis
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
43MixedOrmideia
Ormideia · low scoring
Aspis
9W · 5D · 13LRecent →DWLDWLWLWWLDLDLWWLWLDLLLLWL
Momentum index
Ormideia
9W · 8D · 10LRecent →DWLWWLLLDLDWDLWDLWDLDWWWLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapOrmideia +3
Aspis
32 pts33% wins
9W · 5D · 13L · 27 played
For29
Against39
Ormideia
35 pts33% wins
9W · 8D · 10L · 27 played
For25
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aspis offensive edge
Aspis's attack (60%) vs Ormideia's defense (50%).
+10 - Ormideia offensive edge
Ormideia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ormideialow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Aspis25%
0Draws
3Ormideia75%