ASPTT Dijon 3-2 Carnoux Prediction

ASPTT DijonASPTT Dijon
3 — 2FT
CarnouxCarnoux

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Asptt Dijon

Estimated win chances: Asptt Dijon 40.3%, draw 28.2%, Carnoux 31.4%. From 3 and 4 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.24Expected goals1.06

From 3 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–012.6%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 2–18.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

8Cold spellAsptt Dijon
Weighted momentum

Carnoux arrives with stronger form weighting (+18 momentum).

26Cold spellCarnoux
Asptt Dijon · low scoring · cold formCarnoux · low scoring · cold form

Asptt Dijon

0W · 1D · 2L
Recent →LLD
Momentum index

Carnoux

1W · 1D · 2L
Recent →LDLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Asptt Dijon

1 pts
0% wins

0W · 1D · 2L · 3 played

For
0
Against
3
Goal diff -3

Carnoux

4 pts
25% wins

1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played

For
3
Against
6
Goal diff -3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Asptt Dijon offensive edge

    Asptt Dijon faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -33
  • Carnoux offensive edge

    Carnoux's attack (100%) vs Asptt Dijon's defense (67%).

    +33

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Asptt Dijon0
Carnoux100

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Asptt Dijon67
Carnoux33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Asptt Dijon8
Carnoux26

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Asptt Dijon-16
Carnoux116

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Asptt Dijon30
Carnoux30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Asptt Dijon20
Carnoux80

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Asptt Dijon0
Carnoux0
Asptt Dijonlow scoring · cold form
Carnouxlow scoring · cold form