Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals1.06
From 3 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Asptt Dijon 40.3%, draw 28.2%, Carnoux 31.4%. From 3 and 4 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.24Expected goals1.06
From 3 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Carnoux arrives with stronger form weighting (+18 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
0W · 1D · 2L · 3 played
1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Asptt Dijon faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-33Carnoux's attack (100%) vs Asptt Dijon's defense (67%).
+33Comparison indices from the match data partner.