Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Criciuma Prediction

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
1 — 0FT
CriciumaCriciuma
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaensevsCriciumaCriciuma

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Atletico Paranaense 39.2%, draw 24.3%, Criciuma 36.5%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals1.47

From 17 and 17 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 0–17.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

55BuildingAtletico Paranaense
Weighted momentum

Criciuma arrives with stronger form weighting (+18 momentum).

73Hot streakCriciuma
Atletico Paranaense · compact defenseCriciuma · hot form

Atletico Paranaense

8W · 2D · 7L
Recent →WWLWLLWWWLDLDLWLW
Momentum index

Criciuma

12W · 3D · 2L
Recent →WDLWWWDWDWWWWLWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCriciuma +13

Atletico Paranaense

26 pts
47% wins

8W · 2D · 7L · 17 played

For
20
Against
15
Goal diff +5

Criciuma

39 pts
71% wins

12W · 3D · 2L · 17 played

For
42
Against
28
Goal diff +14

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Atletico Paranaense offensive edge

    Atletico Paranaense's attack (29%) vs Criciuma's defense (25%).

    +4
  • Criciuma offensive edge

    Criciuma runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -4

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Atletico Paranaense29
Criciuma71

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Atletico Paranaense75
Criciuma25

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Atletico Paranaense55
Criciuma73

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Atletico Paranaense58
Criciuma42

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Atletico Paranaense30
Criciuma32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Atletico Paranaense47
Criciuma53

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Atletico Paranaense0
Criciuma0
Atletico Paranaensecompact defense
Criciumahot form