Goal expectancy
1.52Expected goals1.10
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Atletico Torque 2-3 Progreso Prediction
Balanced — model leans Atletico Torque
Estimated win chances: Atletico Torque 46.9%, draw 25.6%, Progreso 27.5%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedAtletico Torque
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
36Cold spellProgreso
Atletico Torque · low scoringProgreso · High-risk / fragile
Atletico Torque
4W · 5D · 4LRecent →LWDWDDLLDLWDW
Momentum index
Progreso
2W · 6D · 5LRecent →LWDDLDWDDDLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAtletico Torque +5
Atletico Torque
17 pts31% wins
4W · 5D · 4L · 13 played
For13
Against17
Progreso
12 pts15% wins
2W · 6D · 5L · 13 played
For13
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Atletico Torque offensive edge
Atletico Torque's attack (57%) vs Progreso's defense (38%).
+19 - Progreso offensive edge
Progreso runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Atletico Torquelow scoring
ProgresoHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Atletico Torque20%
2Draws
2Progreso40%