Goal expectancy
1.62Expected goals1.34
From 23 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Atmosfera
Estimated win chances: Atmosfera 44.1%, draw 24.2%, Bfa 31.7%. From 23 and 24 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
37Cold spellAtmosfera
Weighted momentum
Bfa arrives with stronger form weighting (+28 momentum).
65BuildingBfa
Atmosfera · cold form
Atmosfera
8W · 5D · 10LRecent →LWLDLDLWLWLDWDWDLLLLWWW
Momentum index
Bfa
13W · 3D · 8LRecent →WWDWDWLWWWWLLWWLLLWWDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Atmosfera
29 pts35% wins
8W · 5D · 10L · 23 played
For36
Against32
Bfa
42 pts54% wins
13W · 3D · 8L · 24 played
For38
Against34
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Atmosfera offensive edge
Atmosfera faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-23 - Bfa offensive edge
Bfa's attack (56%) vs Atmosfera's defense (33%).
+23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Atmosferacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Atmosfera20%
2Draws
6Bfa60%