Goal expectancy
1.22Expected goals1.52
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Riga
Estimated win chances: Auda 30.5%, draw 25.3%, Riga 44.2%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingAuda
Weighted momentum
Riga arrives with stronger form weighting (+38 momentum).
92Hot streakRiga
Riga · compact defense · hot form
Auda
9W · 4D · 6LRecent →LWWWDDLDLLWWWWLWWDL
Momentum index
Riga
15W · 3D · 1LRecent →WWWWWWWWWWWWWDWLDDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRiga +17
Auda
31 pts47% wins
9W · 4D · 6L · 19 played
For29
Against20
Riga
48 pts79% wins
15W · 3D · 1L · 19 played
For45
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Auda offensive edge
Auda faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-40 - Riga offensive edge
Riga's attack (57%) vs Auda's defense (17%).
+40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rigacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Auda0%
2Draws
1Riga33%