Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals1.61
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Auerbach 37.4%, draw 23.5%, Eilenburg 39.1%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingAuerbach
Weighted momentum
Eilenburg arrives with stronger form weighting (+36 momentum).
89Hot streakEilenburg
Eilenburg · hot form
Auerbach
2W · 2D · 1LRecent →DDWWL
Momentum index
Eilenburg
4W · 1D · 0LRecent →WWWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEilenburg +5
Auerbach
8 pts40% wins
2W · 2D · 1L · 5 played
For8
Against5
Eilenburg
13 pts80% wins
4W · 1D · 0L · 5 played
For17
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Auerbach offensive edge
Auerbach faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Eilenburg offensive edge
Eilenburg's attack (68%) vs Auerbach's defense (58%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Eilenburghot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Auerbach50%
1Draws
1Eilenburg25%