Goal expectancy
1.78Expected goals1.54
From 15 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Auerbach 2-2 Einheit Wernigerode Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Auerbach
Estimated win chances: Auerbach 43.6%, draw 22.8%, Einheit Wernigerode 33.6%. From 15 and 16 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedAuerbach
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
48MixedEinheit Wernigerode
Einheit Wernigerode · leaky defense
Auerbach
7W · 1D · 7LRecent →LWLLWWWDLWLWLWL
Momentum index
Einheit Wernigerode
6W · 2D · 8LRecent →WWLWLDWLDLWLLLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Auerbach
22 pts47% wins
7W · 1D · 7L · 15 played
For23
Against22
Einheit Wernigerode
20 pts38% wins
6W · 2D · 8L · 16 played
For34
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Auerbach offensive edge
Auerbach faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-8 - Einheit Wernigerode offensive edge
Einheit Wernigerode's attack (64%) vs Auerbach's defense (56%).
+8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Einheit Wernigerodeleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Auerbach0%
1Draws
2Einheit Wernigerode67%