Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.19
From 42 and 38 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Aurora 2-1 Suchitepéquez Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Aurora 38.8%, draw 27.1%, Suchitepéquez 34.1%. From 42 and 38 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
50MixedAurora
Weighted momentum
Suchitepéquez arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
58BuildingSuchitepéquez
Aurora · Structured / conservative
Aurora
18W · 11D · 13LRecent →DWWLLDLWLWLDDWWWLWLDDLWLWLWDDDWDWWWLWWWDLL
Momentum index
Suchitepéquez
17W · 9D · 12LRecent →WWLWLDWDWWDWLDWDWLLWWWLWDWLDLWLWDDLWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Aurora
65 pts43% wins
18W · 11D · 13L · 42 played
For42
Against37
Suchitepéquez
60 pts45% wins
17W · 9D · 12L · 38 played
For65
Against50
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aurora offensive edge
Aurora faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Suchitepéquez offensive edge
Suchitepéquez's attack (70%) vs Aurora's defense (58%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
AuroraStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Aurora100%
0Draws
0Suchitepéquez0%