Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals0.91
From 33 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Aurrerá Vitoria 2-1 Deusto Prediction
Balanced — model leans Aurrerá Vitoria
Estimated win chances: Aurrerá Vitoria 49.4%, draw 26.8%, Deusto 23.8%. From 33 and 32 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedAurrerá Vitoria
Weighted momentum
Aurrerá Vitoria carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).
24Cold spellDeusto
Deusto · low scoring · cold form
Aurrerá Vitoria
15W · 6D · 12LRecent →WLDLDLLWWWWLWWWLWLLDDLWLWDDLWWLWW
Momentum index
Deusto
6W · 7D · 19LRecent →LLDWLLLWDLLLLLDLLDLLWWDLWWDLLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Aurrerá Vitoria
51 pts45% wins
15W · 6D · 12L · 33 played
For40
Against40
Deusto
25 pts19% wins
6W · 7D · 19L · 32 played
For23
Against44
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Aurrerá Vitoria offensive edge
Aurrerá Vitoria's attack (44%) vs Deusto's defense (35%).
+9 - Deusto offensive edge
Deusto runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Deustolow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Aurrerá Vitoria33%
0Draws
2Deusto67%