Austin II 1-0 Sporting KC II Prediction

Austin IIAustin II
1 — 0FT
Sporting KC IISporting KC II

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Austin Ii

Estimated win chances: Austin Ii 65.9%, draw 17.9%, Sporting Kc Ii 16.2%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

2.45Expected goals1.15

From 20 and 20 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 2–110.6%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 3–18.6%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 3–07.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

78Hot streakAustin Ii
Weighted momentum

Austin Ii carries the sharper recent run (+42 momentum).

36Cold spellSporting Kc Ii
Austin Ii · hot formSporting Kc Ii · High-risk / fragile

Austin Ii

15W · 0D · 5L
Recent →WLWLWWWWWWWWWWWLWWLL
Momentum index

Sporting Kc Ii

6W · 0D · 14L
Recent →WWLLLWLLWLLLWLLLLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAustin Ii +27

Austin Ii

45 pts
75% wins

15W · 0D · 5L · 20 played

For
44
Against
21
Goal diff +23

Sporting Kc Ii

18 pts
30% wins

6W · 0D · 14L · 20 played

For
28
Against
54
Goal diff -26

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Austin Ii offensive edge

    Austin Ii's attack (57%) vs Sporting Kc Ii's defense (36%).

    +21
  • Sporting Kc Ii offensive edge

    Sporting Kc Ii runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -21

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Austin Ii57
Sporting Kc Ii43

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Austin Ii64
Sporting Kc Ii36

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Austin Ii78
Sporting Kc Ii36

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Austin Ii92
Sporting Kc Ii8

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Austin Ii30
Sporting Kc Ii56

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Austin Ii60
Sporting Kc Ii40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Austin Ii100
Sporting Kc Ii0
Austin Iihot form
Sporting Kc IiHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

2Austin Ii20%
3Draws
5Sporting Kc Ii50%

Recent meetings