Goal expectancy
1.42Expected goals1.15
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Avai
Estimated win chances: Avai 43.2%, draw 26.3%, Camboriú 30.5%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingAvai
Weighted momentum
Avai carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).
35Cold spellCamboriú
Camboriú · cold form
Avai
4W · 1D · 2LRecent →WLDWWLW
Momentum index
Camboriú
2W · 3D · 2LRecent →LDLDWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAvai +4
Avai
13 pts57% wins
4W · 1D · 2L · 7 played
For10
Against8
Camboriú
9 pts29% wins
2W · 3D · 2L · 7 played
For9
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Avai offensive edge
Avai's attack (58%) vs Camboriú's defense (45%).
+13 - Camboriú offensive edge
Camboriú runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Camboriúcold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Avai67%
0Draws
1Camboriú33%