Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals1.25
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Ayamonte 38.9%, draw 26.4%, Bollullos 34.7%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellAyamonte
Weighted momentum
Bollullos arrives with stronger form weighting (+41 momentum).
74Hot streakBollullos
Ayamonte · cold formBollullos · compact defense · hot form
Ayamonte
1W · 1D · 2LRecent →LWLD
Momentum index
Bollullos
2W · 2D · 0LRecent →WWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBollullos +4
Ayamonte
4 pts25% wins
1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played
For5
Against6
Bollullos
8 pts50% wins
2W · 2D · 0L · 4 played
For5
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ayamonte offensive edge
Ayamonte faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-17 - Bollullos offensive edge
Bollullos's attack (50%) vs Ayamonte's defense (33%).
+17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ayamontecold form
Bollulloscompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Ayamonte100%
0Draws
0Bollullos0%