Goal expectancy
1.10Expected goals1.30
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Utrera
Estimated win chances: Ayamonte 31.4%, draw 27.5%, Utrera 41.1%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
25Cold spellAyamonte
Weighted momentum
Utrera arrives with stronger form weighting (+32 momentum).
57BuildingUtrera
Ayamonte · low scoring · cold form
Ayamonte
3W · 6D · 9LRecent →DLLLDLWLDDWLLDLWLD
Momentum index
Utrera
9W · 4D · 5LRecent →WDWDDLWWWLLDWLWLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUtrera +16
Ayamonte
15 pts17% wins
3W · 6D · 9L · 18 played
For11
Against22
Utrera
31 pts50% wins
9W · 4D · 5L · 18 played
For30
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ayamonte offensive edge
Ayamonte faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-44 - Utrera offensive edge
Utrera's attack (80%) vs Ayamonte's defense (36%).
+44
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ayamontelow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Ayamonte100%
0Draws
0Utrera0%