Ayema 3-0 Sitatunga Prediction

AyemaAyema
3 — 0FT
SitatungaSitatunga

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Ayema

Estimated win chances: Ayema 47.9%, draw 29.5%, Sitatunga 22.6%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.25Expected goals0.76

From 32 and 32 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–016.9%
  • 0–013.5%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 2–010.6%
  • 0–110.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

56BuildingAyema
Weighted momentum

Ayema carries the sharper recent run (+19 momentum).

37Cold spellSitatunga
Ayema · compact defenseSitatunga · low scoring · cold form

Ayema

16W · 7D · 9L
Recent →LDWWLWLDWWLWWLWDWLLDDWWWDWWDLWLW
Momentum index

Sitatunga

7W · 14D · 11L
Recent →WDDLLLDDLDWWDWDDDDLLLWDDDDLWLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAyema +20

Ayema

55 pts
50% wins

16W · 7D · 9L · 32 played

For
37
Against
22
Goal diff +15

Sitatunga

35 pts
22% wins

7W · 14D · 11L · 32 played

For
25
Against
33
Goal diff -8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ayema offensive edge

    Ayema's attack (40%) vs Sitatunga's defense (20%).

    +20
  • Sitatunga offensive edge

    Sitatunga runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -20

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ayema40
Sitatunga60

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ayema80
Sitatunga20

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ayema56
Sitatunga37

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ayema90
Sitatunga10

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ayema30
Sitatunga30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ayema58
Sitatunga42

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ayema50
Sitatunga50
Ayemacompact defense
Sitatungalow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Ayema0%
1Draws
0Sitatunga0%

Recent meetings