Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.42
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Ayr Utd 33.1%, draw 25.9%, Partick 41%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.25Expected goals1.42
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
4W · 3D · 6L · 13 played
4W · 4D · 5L · 13 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Ayr Utd's attack (63%) vs Partick's defense (55%).
+8Partick runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-7Comparison indices from the match data partner.