Bagé 2-4 Aimoré Prediction

BagéBagé
2 — 4FT
AimoréAimoré
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

BagéBagévsAimoréAimoré

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Bagé

Estimated win chances: Bagé 39.5%, draw 29.7%, Aimoré 30.8%. From 9 and 8 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.14Expected goals0.97

From 9 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–014%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–012.2%
  • 0–111.9%
  • 2–08%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

48MixedBagé
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

45MixedAimoré
Bagé · Structured / conservativeAimoré · Structured / conservative

Bagé

4W · 1D · 4L
Recent →LWWLWLLDW
Momentum index

Aimoré

3W · 2D · 3L
Recent →LWLWLWDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Bagé

13 pts
44% wins

4W · 1D · 4L · 9 played

For
7
Against
7
Goal diff +0

Aimoré

11 pts
38% wins

3W · 2D · 3L · 8 played

For
8
Against
7
Goal diff +1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Bagé offensive edge

    Bagé faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    0
  • Aimoré offensive edge

    Aimoré runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    0

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Bagé44
Aimoré56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Bagé56
Aimoré44

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Bagé48
Aimoré45

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Bagé50
Aimoré50

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Bagé30
Aimoré30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Bagé60
Aimoré40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Bagé100
Aimoré0
BagéStructured / conservative
AimoréStructured / conservative

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Bagé0%
0Draws
1Aimoré100%

Recent meetings

Aimoré
0 – 1FT
Bagé

Gaúcho - 21st Phase, round 5