Goal expectancy
1.13Expected goals1.20
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Bagé 0-1 Guarany de Bagé Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Bagé 34.2%, draw 28.1%, Guarany De Bagé 37.7%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
30Cold spellBagé
Weighted momentum
Guarany De Bagé arrives with stronger form weighting (+20 momentum).
50MixedGuarany De Bagé
Bagé · High-risk / fragileGuarany De Bagé · Structured / conservative
Bagé
1W · 2D · 3LRecent →DDLWLL
Momentum index
Guarany De Bagé
3W · 2D · 1LRecent →DLDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGuarany De Bagé +6
Bagé
5 pts17% wins
1W · 2D · 3L · 6 played
For5
Against11
Guarany De Bagé
11 pts50% wins
3W · 2D · 1L · 6 played
For5
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bagé offensive edge
Bagé faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Guarany De Bagé offensive edge
Guarany De Bagé's attack (44%) vs Bagé's defense (33%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
BagéHigh-risk / fragile
Guarany De BagéStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Bagé50%
1Draws
0Guarany De Bagé0%