Key events
View all
Ceara- É. Ribeiro
BahiaFT 1–0
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Model blend
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Bahia10%
- Draw45%
- Ceara45%
Prematch market
No prematch 1X2 odds snapshot available.
Live market
No in-play odds snapshot was captured for this match.
Venue
Arena Fonte Nova
Salvador, Bahia · Brazil
- Address
- Rua Lions Club, Nazaré
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 56500
Match
Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
Round 5
- Referee
- Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
- Round
- Round 5
- Date
Competition
League · Brazil
- Country
- Brazil (BR)
- Season
- 2025
- Dates
- 2025-03-29 → 2025-12-07
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
65%65%35%35%
Expected goals (xG)
1.6959%1.1741%
Total shots
1357%1043%
Shots on target
467%233%
Team form & competition
View all- #7Position
- 60Points
- 17-9-12W-D-L
- 50/46Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-0 / 0-3
- Worst defeats
- 2-3 / 5-1
- #17Position
- 43Points
- 11-10-17W-D-L
- 34/40Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 3-0 / 1-2
- Worst defeats
- 1-3 / 3-0
Head to head
View all9Bahiawins
4Drawsmatches
7Cearawins
Recorded meetings: 20 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Bahia 3–2 Ceara
- Bahia most goals
- Bahia 3–2 Ceara
- Ceara most goals
- Ceara 3–1 Bahia
Bahia created the clearer chances on xG (1.69 vs 1.17, Δ 0.52). Bahia fired more attempts (13 vs 10 shots). Bahia was more accurate in front of goal (31% on target vs 20%). Bahia held more of the ball (65% possession).
Bahia underperformed their xG by 0.7 goals (1 scored vs 1.69 xG). Ceara underperformed their xG by 1.2 goals (0 scored vs 1.17 xG).