Bahrain 3-0 Nepal Prediction

BahrainBahrain
3 — 0FT
NepalNepal

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Bahrain

Estimated win chances: Bahrain 62.4%, draw 21.2%, Nepal 16.5%. From 3 and 5 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.97Expected goals0.90

From 3 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–011.8%
  • 2–011.6%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–110.4%
  • 3–07.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

67BuildingBahrain
Weighted momentum

Bahrain carries the sharper recent run (+47 momentum).

20Cold spellNepal
Bahrain · compact defense · hot formNepal · High-risk / fragile

Bahrain

2W · 0D · 1L
Recent →WLW
Momentum index

Nepal

1W · 1D · 3L
Recent →LLLWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Bahrain

6 pts
67% wins

2W · 0D · 1L · 3 played

For
7
Against
2
Goal diff +5

Nepal

4 pts
20% wins

1W · 1D · 3L · 5 played

For
2
Against
12
Goal diff -10

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Bahrain offensive edge

    Bahrain's attack (78%) vs Nepal's defense (14%).

    +64
  • Nepal offensive edge

    Nepal runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -64

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Bahrain78
Nepal22

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Bahrain86
Nepal14

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Bahrain67
Nepal20

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Bahrain178
Nepal-78

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Bahrain30
Nepal50

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Bahrain60
Nepal40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Bahrain100
Nepal0
Bahraincompact defense · hot form
NepalHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Bahrain0%
0Draws
1Nepal100%

Recent meetings