Bakı 0-3 Qarabag Prediction

BakıBakı
0 — 3FT
QarabagQarabag
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

BakıBakıvsQarabagQarabag

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Bakı

Estimated win chances: Bakı 41.9%, draw 28.8%, Qarabag 29.4%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.23Expected goals0.98

From 18 and 18 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.7%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–011.1%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 2–08.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

53BuildingBakı
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

52BuildingQarabag
Bakı · compact defenseQarabag · compact defense

Bakı

8W · 5D · 5L
Recent →LWDLWWWLDWDLWWLWDD
Momentum index

Qarabag

8W · 5D · 5L
Recent →DWDWLDLWLWDWWLDLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Bakı

29 pts
44% wins

8W · 5D · 5L · 18 played

For
23
Against
16
Goal diff +7

Qarabag

29 pts
44% wins

8W · 5D · 5L · 18 played

For
20
Against
14
Goal diff +6

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Bakı offensive edge

    Bakı faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -28
  • Qarabag offensive edge

    Qarabag's attack (57%) vs Bakı's defense (29%).

    +28

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Bakı43
Qarabag57

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Bakı29
Qarabag71

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Bakı53
Qarabag52

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Bakı-6
Qarabag106

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Bakı30
Qarabag30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Bakı47
Qarabag53

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Bakı0
Qarabag100
Bakıcompact defense
Qarabagcompact defense