Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.42
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Bala Town 40.2%, draw 24.5%, Llanelli 35.3%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedBala Town
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
51MixedLlanelli
Bala Town
13W · 7D · 9LRecent →LDWWLLLWWWLDLDDWDWDWLLLWWWWWD
Momentum index
Llanelli
15W · 5D · 9LRecent →DDLLWLLLLWWWWWWLDDWWWWWWWLDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLlanelli +4
Bala Town
46 pts45% wins
13W · 7D · 9L · 29 played
For46
Against38
Llanelli
50 pts52% wins
15W · 5D · 9L · 29 played
For54
Against34
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bala Town offensive edge
Bala Town's attack (61%) vs Llanelli's defense (56%).
+5 - Llanelli offensive edge
Llanelli runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Bala Town25%
1Draws
2Llanelli50%