Goal expectancy
1.85Expected goals1.27
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Bala Town
Estimated win chances: Bala Town 51%, draw 22.7%, Llanelli 26.3%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
52BuildingBala Town
Weighted momentum
Bala Town carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).
40MixedLlanelli
Llanelli · leaky defense
Bala Town
10W · 5D · 10LRecent →WWWLWLDLLDLWWDWWLWWLLLLDD
Momentum index
Llanelli
8W · 6D · 11LRecent →LWLWDWLLWDDLLLLWWDLWLDLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBala Town +5
Bala Town
35 pts40% wins
10W · 5D · 10L · 25 played
For41
Against40
Llanelli
30 pts32% wins
8W · 6D · 11L · 25 played
For30
Against48
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bala Town offensive edge
Bala Town's attack (72%) vs Llanelli's defense (60%).
+12 - Llanelli offensive edge
Llanelli runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Llanellileaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Bala Town25%
1Draws
5Llanelli63%