Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.44
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Bala Town 37.6%, draw 24.9%, Neath 37.6%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.44Expected goals1.44
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Neath arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
8W · 5D · 4L · 17 played
9W · 5D · 3L · 17 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Bala Town faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12Neath's attack (55%) vs Bala Town's defense (43%).
+12Comparison indices from the match data partner.
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.