Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.26
From 23 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balsicas Atlético 2-1 Santomera Prediction
Balanced — model leans Balsicas Atlético
Estimated win chances: Balsicas Atlético 43.6%, draw 25.1%, Santomera 31.4%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellBalsicas Atlético
Weighted momentum
Santomera arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
37Cold spellSantomera
Balsicas Atlético · High-risk / fragileSantomera · High-risk / fragile
Balsicas Atlético
5W · 5D · 13LRecent →LLLDDWDLWLLLDWLLWWLDLLL
Momentum index
Santomera
5W · 8D · 10LRecent →LWLWLDDDLWWLDDLDLWLDDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSantomera +3
Balsicas Atlético
20 pts22% wins
5W · 5D · 13L · 23 played
For25
Against38
Santomera
23 pts22% wins
5W · 8D · 10L · 23 played
For26
Against40
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Balsicas Atlético offensive edge
Balsicas Atlético faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Santomera offensive edge
Santomera's attack (67%) vs Balsicas Atlético's defense (56%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Balsicas AtléticoHigh-risk / fragile
SantomeraHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Balsicas Atlético33%
0Draws
2Santomera67%