Baré 2-1 River RR Prediction

BaréBaré
2 — 1FT
River RRRiver RR
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

BaréBarévsRiver RrRiver Rr

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Baré

Estimated win chances: Baré 45.8%, draw 24.5%, River Rr 29.7%. From 3 and 4 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.61Expected goals1.25

From 3 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–27.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

75Hot streakBaré
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

70Hot streakRiver Rr
Baré · compact defense · hot formRiver Rr · hot form

Baré

2W · 0D · 1L
Recent →WWL
Momentum index

River Rr

2W · 2D · 0L
Recent →WDWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Baré

6 pts
67% wins

2W · 0D · 1L · 3 played

For
6
Against
2
Goal diff +4

River Rr

8 pts
50% wins

2W · 2D · 0L · 4 played

For
8
Against
5
Goal diff +3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Baré offensive edge

    Baré's attack (43%) vs River Rr's defense (29%).

    +14
  • River Rr offensive edge

    River Rr runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -14

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Baré43
River Rr57

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Baré71
River Rr29

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Baré75
River Rr70

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Baré78
River Rr22

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Baré30
River Rr30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Baré43
River Rr57

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Baré0
River Rr100
Barécompact defense · hot form
River Rrhot form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Baré100%
0Draws
0River Rr0%

Recent meetings

River RR
3 – 2FT
Baré

Roraimense2nd Phase, round 6