Goal expectancy
2.36Expected goals1.46
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Bassecourt 4-1 Muri Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Bassecourt
Estimated win chances: Bassecourt 57.6%, draw 19.4%, Muri 23.1%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
26Cold spellBassecourt
Weighted momentum
Bassecourt carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
15Cold spellMuri
Bassecourt · High-risk / fragileMuri · High-risk / fragile
Bassecourt
6W · 5D · 15LRecent →LWLLLLWLDDLLDLDWLLLWLDLWWL
Momentum index
Muri
2W · 6D · 18LRecent →LDLLLLLLLDLLWWDLDLLLLDLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBassecourt +11
Bassecourt
23 pts23% wins
6W · 5D · 15L · 26 played
For37
Against57
Muri
12 pts8% wins
2W · 6D · 18L · 26 played
For29
Against82
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bassecourt offensive edge
Bassecourt's attack (57%) vs Muri's defense (46%).
+11 - Muri offensive edge
Muri runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
BassecourtHigh-risk / fragile
MuriHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Bassecourt33%
1Draws
1Muri33%