Baumholder 4-0 Quierschied Prediction

BaumholderBaumholder
4 — 0FT
QuierschiedQuierschied

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Baumholder

Estimated win chances: Baumholder 49.7%, draw 22.2%, Quierschied 28.1%. From 18 and 19 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.92Expected goals1.40

From 18 and 19 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–07.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

46MixedBaumholder
Weighted momentum

Baumholder carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).

28Cold spellQuierschied
Baumholder · leaky defenseQuierschied · High-risk / fragile

Baumholder

5W · 5D · 8L
Recent →WDLWLDWWWDDLLLLDLL
Momentum index

Quierschied

4W · 5D · 10L
Recent →LWDLLLLWLDWLLLLDDDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Baumholder

20 pts
28% wins

5W · 5D · 8L · 18 played

For
30
Against
37
Goal diff -7

Quierschied

17 pts
21% wins

4W · 5D · 10L · 19 played

For
21
Against
38
Goal diff -17

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Baumholder offensive edge

    Baumholder's attack (67%) vs Quierschied's defense (43%).

    +24
  • Quierschied offensive edge

    Quierschied runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -24

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Baumholder67
Quierschied33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Baumholder57
Quierschied43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Baumholder46
Quierschied28

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Baumholder98
Quierschied2

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Baumholder43
Quierschied41

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Baumholder64
Quierschied36

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Baumholder0
Quierschied100
Baumholderleaky defense
QuierschiedHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Baumholder100%
0Draws
0Quierschied0%

Recent meetings