Goal expectancy
1.42Expected goals1.76
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Bayanzürkh Sporting 2-1 Khovd Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Khovd
Estimated win chances: Bayanzürkh Sporting 31.2%, draw 23.2%, Khovd 45.7%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
17Cold spellBayanzürkh Sporting
Weighted momentum
Khovd arrives with stronger form weighting (+20 momentum).
37Cold spellKhovd
Bayanzürkh Sporting · High-risk / fragileKhovd · High-risk / fragile
Bayanzürkh Sporting
1W · 1D · 5LRecent →LLDLWLL
Momentum index
Khovd
2W · 1D · 4LRecent →WDLLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKhovd +3
Bayanzürkh Sporting
4 pts14% wins
1W · 1D · 5L · 7 played
For4
Against12
Khovd
7 pts29% wins
2W · 1D · 4L · 7 played
For21
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bayanzürkh Sporting offensive edge
Bayanzürkh Sporting faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-24 - Khovd offensive edge
Khovd's attack (88%) vs Bayanzürkh Sporting's defense (63%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bayanzürkh SportingHigh-risk / fragile
KhovdHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Bayanzürkh Sporting33%
0Draws
2Khovd67%