Goal expectancy
1.53Expected goals1.88
From 27 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Uster
Estimated win chances: Bazenheid 31.6%, draw 22.3%, Uster 46.1%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
21Cold spellBazenheid
Weighted momentum
Uster arrives with stronger form weighting (+27 momentum).
48MixedUster
Bazenheid · High-risk / fragileUster · leaky defense
Bazenheid
4W · 6D · 17LRecent →LLWLLLLLDLDLLWDDLWLDLDWLLLL
Momentum index
Uster
9W · 8D · 10LRecent →WDWWWLLWLDLLDLDWWDDLWLDWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUster +17
Bazenheid
18 pts15% wins
4W · 6D · 17L · 27 played
For31
Against72
Uster
35 pts33% wins
9W · 8D · 10L · 27 played
For45
Against45
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bazenheid offensive edge
Bazenheid faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-43 - Uster offensive edge
Uster's attack (67%) vs Bazenheid's defense (24%).
+43
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
BazenheidHigh-risk / fragile
Usterleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Bazenheid40%
1Draws
2Uster40%