Goal expectancy
1.41Expected goals0.94
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
BDF XI 0-1 Security Systems Prediction
Balanced — model leans Bdf Xi
Estimated win chances: Bdf Xi 47.9%, draw 27%, Security Systems 25.1%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
32Cold spellBdf Xi
Weighted momentum
Bdf Xi carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).
20Cold spellSecurity Systems
Bdf Xi · low scoring · cold formSecurity Systems · High-risk / fragile
Bdf Xi
2W · 6D · 4LRecent →DDLLDWDDLWDL
Momentum index
Security Systems
2W · 3D · 7LRecent →LLDLLWDLLLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBdf Xi +3
Bdf Xi
12 pts17% wins
2W · 6D · 4L · 12 played
For10
Against12
Security Systems
9 pts17% wins
2W · 3D · 7L · 12 played
For10
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bdf Xi offensive edge
Bdf Xi's attack (43%) vs Security Systems's defense (33%).
+10 - Security Systems offensive edge
Security Systems runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bdf Xilow scoring · cold form
Security SystemsHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Bdf Xi13%
5Draws
2Security Systems25%