Key events
View all- M. Piemonte
- E. Polli
FT 0–2
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Belarus W46.4%
- Draw25%
- Italy W28.6%
Prematch market
Source: William Hill
- Belarus W4.4%
- Draw9.8%
- Italy W85.8%
Venue
Stadion Lagator
Loznica · Belarus
- Address
- Miloša Pocerca 54
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 8030
Match
M. Vanderstichel
Semi-finals
- Referee
- M. Vanderstichel
- Stage
- Semi-finals
- Date
Competition
Cup · World
- Country
- World
- Season
- 2027
- Dates
- 2025-11-28 → 2026-12-05
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
22%22%78%78%
Expected goals (xG)
0.103%3.7597%
Total shots
13%3197%
Shots on target
00%10100%
Match headlines
Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.



Italy W created the clearer chances on xG (0.10 vs 3.75, Δ 3.65). Italy W fired more attempts (31 vs 1 shots). Italy W was more accurate in front of goal (32% on target vs 0%). Italy W held more of the ball (78% possession).
Italy W underperformed their xG by 1.8 goals (2 scored vs 3.75 xG).