Bella Vista 3-1 Progreso Prediction

Bella VistaBella Vista
3 — 1FT
ProgresoProgreso
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Bella VistaBella VistavsProgresoProgreso

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Bella Vista 39.2%, draw 25.8%, Progreso 35%. From 3 and 4 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.39Expected goals1.30

From 3 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 0–19%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–28.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

36Cold spellBella Vista
Weighted momentum

Progreso arrives with stronger form weighting (+12 momentum).

48MixedProgreso
Bella Vista · low scoring · cold form

Bella Vista

1W · 1D · 1L
Recent →LDW
Momentum index

Progreso

2W · 1D · 1L
Recent →LDWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Bella Vista

4 pts
33% wins

1W · 1D · 1L · 3 played

For
2
Against
3
Goal diff -1

Progreso

7 pts
50% wins

2W · 1D · 1L · 4 played

For
8
Against
6
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Bella Vista offensive edge

    Bella Vista faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -13
  • Progreso offensive edge

    Progreso's attack (80%) vs Bella Vista's defense (67%).

    +13

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Bella Vista20
Progreso80

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Bella Vista67
Progreso33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Bella Vista36
Progreso48

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Bella Vista24
Progreso76

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Bella Vista30
Progreso30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Bella Vista36
Progreso64

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Bella Vista0
Progreso0
Bella Vistalow scoring · cold form