Goal expectancy
1.16Expected goals0.96
From 25 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Belshina 40.3%, draw 29.6%, Naftan 30.1%. From 25 and 26 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageySportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.16Expected goals0.96
From 25 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
5W · 7D · 13L · 25 played
5W · 8D · 13L · 26 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Belshina faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-37Naftan's attack (80%) vs Belshina's defense (43%).
+37Comparison indices from the match data partner.