Belshina 3-2 Naftan Prediction

BelshinaBelshina
3 — 2FT
NaftanNaftan

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Belshina

Estimated win chances: Belshina 40.3%, draw 29.6%, Naftan 30.1%. From 25 and 26 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.16Expected goals0.96

From 25 and 26 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–014.1%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–012.1%
  • 0–111.6%
  • 2–08.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

26Cold spellBelshina
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

28Cold spellNaftan
Belshina · low scoring · cold formNaftan · low scoring · cold form

Belshina

5W · 7D · 13L
Recent →LDLDLDWLLDLWDLLLWLDWLLDLW
Momentum index

Naftan

5W · 8D · 13L
Recent →WDDLLDLLLLWLDLDDLWLWDLLDWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Belshina

22 pts
20% wins

5W · 7D · 13L · 25 played

For
17
Against
32
Goal diff -15

Naftan

23 pts
19% wins

5W · 8D · 13L · 26 played

For
18
Against
35
Goal diff -17

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Belshina offensive edge

    Belshina faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -37
  • Naftan offensive edge

    Naftan's attack (80%) vs Belshina's defense (43%).

    +37

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Belshina20
Naftan80

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Belshina43
Naftan57

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Belshina26
Naftan28

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Belshina-24
Naftan124

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Belshina30
Naftan30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Belshina29
Naftan71

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Belshina20
Naftan80
Belshinalow scoring · cold form
Naftanlow scoring · cold form