Goal expectancy
1.09Expected goals1.26
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Neman
Estimated win chances: Belshina 31.9%, draw 27.9%, Neman 40.2%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
28Cold spellBelshina
Weighted momentum
Neman arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).
51MixedNeman
Belshina · High-risk / fragileNeman · compact defense
Belshina
4W · 4D · 11LRecent →DLWDLDLLDLWLWLLLLLW
Momentum index
Neman
9W · 3D · 7LRecent →WWWLDLLLWLWLLWDWWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNeman +14
Belshina
16 pts21% wins
4W · 4D · 11L · 19 played
For17
Against33
Neman
30 pts47% wins
9W · 3D · 7L · 19 played
For21
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Belshina offensive edge
Belshina faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-30 - Neman offensive edge
Neman's attack (60%) vs Belshina's defense (30%).
+30
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
BelshinaHigh-risk / fragile
Nemancompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Belshina44%
3Draws
2Neman22%