Benfica 2-1 Maritimo Prediction

BenficaBenfica
2 — 1FT
MaritimoMaritimo
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

BenficaBenficavsMaritimoMaritimo

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Benfica

Estimated win chances: Benfica 56.3%, draw 24%, Maritimo 19.8%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.70Expected goals0.90

From 20 and 20 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–011.1%
  • 2–110%
  • 0–07.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

90Hot streakBenfica
Weighted momentum

Benfica carries the sharper recent run (+48 momentum).

42MixedMaritimo
Benfica · compact defense · hot formMaritimo · low scoring

Benfica

16W · 0D · 4L
Recent →WWWWWWWWWWLWWWWWLWLL
Momentum index

Maritimo

5W · 7D · 8L
Recent →WLLLWLDWWDDDWDLDDLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBenfica +26

Benfica

48 pts
80% wins

16W · 0D · 4L · 20 played

For
42
Against
16
Goal diff +26

Maritimo

22 pts
25% wins

5W · 7D · 8L · 20 played

For
20
Against
22
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Benfica offensive edge

    Benfica's attack (67%) vs Maritimo's defense (20%).

    +47
  • Maritimo offensive edge

    Maritimo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -47

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Benfica67
Maritimo33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Benfica80
Maritimo20

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Benfica90
Maritimo42

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Benfica144
Maritimo-44

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Benfica30
Maritimo30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Benfica71
Maritimo29

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Benfica100
Maritimo0
Benficacompact defense · hot form
Maritimolow scoring