Goal expectancy
1.80Expected goals1.31
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Berga 3-2 Sölvesborg Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Berga
Estimated win chances: Berga 49%, draw 23.1%, Sölvesborg 28%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
50MixedBerga
Weighted momentum
Berga carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
32Cold spellSölvesborg
Sölvesborg · High-risk / fragile
Berga
3W · 3D · 3LRecent →LWWDDWLDL
Momentum index
Sölvesborg
3W · 0D · 6LRecent →WLLLLLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBerga +3
Berga
12 pts33% wins
3W · 3D · 3L · 9 played
For16
Against12
Sölvesborg
9 pts33% wins
3W · 0D · 6L · 9 played
For15
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Berga offensive edge
Berga's attack (73%) vs Sölvesborg's defense (38%).
+35 - Sölvesborg offensive edge
Sölvesborg runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-35
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SölvesborgHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Berga60%
0Draws
2Sölvesborg40%