Berga 3-1 Växjö Norra Prediction

BergaBerga
3 — 1FT
Växjö NorraVäxjö Norra

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Berga

Estimated win chances: Berga 43.7%, draw 24.8%, Växjö Norra 31.6%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.56Expected goals1.29

From 13 and 13 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–17.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

49MixedBerga
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

48MixedVäxjö Norra

Berga

5W · 3D · 5L
Recent →LWLWLWWDDWLDL
Momentum index

Växjö Norra

6W · 5D · 2L
Recent →LDDLWWDDWDWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapVäxjö Norra +5

Berga

18 pts
38% wins

5W · 3D · 5L · 13 played

For
24
Against
18
Goal diff +6

Växjö Norra

23 pts
46% wins

6W · 5D · 2L · 13 played

For
19
Against
14
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Berga offensive edge

    Berga's attack (64%) vs Växjö Norra's defense (50%).

    +14
  • Växjö Norra offensive edge

    Växjö Norra runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -14

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Berga64
Växjö Norra36

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Berga50
Växjö Norra50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Berga49
Växjö Norra48

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Berga78
Växjö Norra22

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Berga30
Växjö Norra30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Berga55
Växjö Norra45

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Berga50
Växjö Norra50

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Berga0%
1Draws
0Växjö Norra0%

Recent meetings