Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.26
From 15 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Bergerac
Estimated win chances: Bergerac 42.6%, draw 25.4%, Marignane 32.1%. From 15 and 16 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
37Cold spellBergerac
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
43MixedMarignane
Bergerac · High-risk / fragile
Bergerac
5W · 1D · 9LRecent →WDLLLWLLLWWWLLL
Momentum index
Marignane
6W · 3D · 7LRecent →LWWDLLWDLWLLDWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Bergerac
16 pts33% wins
5W · 1D · 9L · 15 played
For17
Against26
Marignane
21 pts38% wins
6W · 3D · 7L · 16 played
For17
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bergerac offensive edge
Bergerac faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Marignane offensive edge
Marignane's attack (67%) vs Bergerac's defense (56%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
BergeracHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Bergerac100%
0Draws
0Marignane0%