Beroe 2-1 Botev Plovdiv Prediction

BeroeBeroe
2 — 1FT
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

BeroeBeroevsBotev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Beroe

Estimated win chances: Beroe 39.8%, draw 27.8%, Botev Plovdiv 32.5%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.26Expected goals1.11

From 3 and 3 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–012%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–18.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

61BuildingBeroe
Weighted momentum

Botev Plovdiv arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).

75Hot streakBotev Plovdiv
Beroe · compact defenseBotev Plovdiv · compact defense · hot form

Beroe

1W · 2D · 0L
Recent →WDD
Momentum index

Botev Plovdiv

2W · 0D · 1L
Recent →WWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBotev Plovdiv +1

Beroe

5 pts
33% wins

1W · 2D · 0L · 3 played

For
4
Against
2
Goal diff +2

Botev Plovdiv

6 pts
67% wins

2W · 0D · 1L · 3 played

For
4
Against
1
Goal diff +3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Beroe offensive edge

    Beroe faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -17
  • Botev Plovdiv offensive edge

    Botev Plovdiv's attack (50%) vs Beroe's defense (33%).

    +17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Beroe50
Botev Plovdiv50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Beroe33
Botev Plovdiv67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Beroe61
Botev Plovdiv75

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Beroe16
Botev Plovdiv84

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Beroe30
Botev Plovdiv30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Beroe45
Botev Plovdiv55

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Beroe0
Botev Plovdiv0
Beroecompact defense
Botev Plovdivcompact defense · hot form