Beroe 1-1 CSKA Sofia Prediction

BeroeBeroe
1 — 1FT
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

BeroeBeroevsCska SofiaCska Sofia

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Cska Sofia

Estimated win chances: Beroe 32.2%, draw 28.6%, Cska Sofia 39.2%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.06Expected goals1.20

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–112.7%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 0–010.6%
  • 1–28.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

67BuildingBeroe
Weighted momentum

Cska Sofia arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).

75Hot streakCska Sofia
Beroe · compact defense · hot formCska Sofia · compact defense · hot form

Beroe

6W · 5D · 1L
Recent →WWDDWLWDWWDD
Momentum index

Cska Sofia

9W · 1D · 2L
Recent →WWLWWDWLWWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCska Sofia +5

Beroe

23 pts
50% wins

6W · 5D · 1L · 12 played

For
16
Against
7
Goal diff +9

Cska Sofia

28 pts
75% wins

9W · 1D · 2L · 12 played

For
24
Against
4
Goal diff +20

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Beroe offensive edge

    Beroe faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -25
  • Cska Sofia offensive edge

    Cska Sofia's attack (65%) vs Beroe's defense (40%).

    +25

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Beroe35
Cska Sofia65

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Beroe40
Cska Sofia60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Beroe67
Cska Sofia75

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Beroe0
Cska Sofia100

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Beroe30
Cska Sofia30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Beroe48
Cska Sofia52

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Beroe0
Cska Sofia0
Beroecompact defense · hot form
Cska Sofiacompact defense · hot form